Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LRC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-05 0.113832 0.134984 0.158664 0.187094 0.220256 0.257668 0.303028
2025-01-12 0.078355 0.104658 0.137451 0.181150 0.237650 0.308006 0.402006
2025-01-19 0.057781 0.084936 0.121830 0.175219 0.250016 0.350518 0.495113
2025-01-26 0.047232 0.075193 0.115983 0.179131 0.273557 0.408435 0.614287
2025-02-02 0.039367 0.067236 0.110509 0.181553 0.293929 0.463071 0.734504
2025-02-09 0.033092 0.060257 0.104889 0.182140 0.310629 0.513215 0.853038
2025-02-16 0.028566 0.055165 0.101176 0.184729 0.330134 0.569130 0.986163
2025-02-23 0.025627 0.052224 0.100448 0.191909 0.357703 0.640562 1.151819
2025-03-02 0.021475 0.046196 0.093182 0.186240 0.361887 0.672775 1.254451
2025-03-09 0.018770 0.042458 0.089483 0.186404 0.376230 0.723642 1.394339
2025-03-16 0.016206 0.038506 0.084694 0.183641 0.384473 0.764033 1.519093
2025-03-23 0.014686 0.036508 0.083495 0.187759 0.406341 0.831608 1.700722
2025-03-30 0.012843 0.033483 0.079771 0.186327 0.417352 0.880522 1.853800
2025-04-06 0.011028 0.030167 0.074887 0.181700 0.421182 0.915853 1.984372
2025-04-13 0.009424 0.027041 0.069901 0.176046 0.421969 0.944923 2.105155
2025-04-20 0.008621 0.025811 0.069169 0.180046 0.444474 1.021320 2.331459
2025-04-27 0.007828 0.024447 0.067877 0.182496 0.463700 1.092610 2.553909
2025-05-04 0.007041 0.022932 0.065954 0.183090 0.478605 1.155886 2.765094
2025-05-11 0.006434 0.021818 0.064891 0.185693 0.498617 1.232536 3.013319
2025-05-18 0.006073 0.021373 0.065561 0.192908 0.530858 1.340328 3.342310
2025-05-25 0.005281 0.019397 0.061638 0.187212 0.529741 1.369982 3.493427
2025-06-01 0.004780 0.018260 0.059933 0.187376 0.543797 1.437213 3.739542
2025-06-08 0.004249 0.016900 0.057332 0.184600 0.549670 1.485000 3.943306